1934 and stock market volatility
This service is more advanced with JavaScript available, learn more at http: Journal of Financial Services Research. This article reexamines the evidence on the relationship between stock market margin buying and volatility, and discusses the implications for the regulation of futures markets margin requirements. Post-war data provide no evidence of a link between the initial margin requirements set by the Federal Reserve and stock market volatility.
Over the entire period in which the Federal Reserve has set margin requirements present , there is a correlation between margin requirements and margin debt on the one hand and volatility on the other. However, margin debt is not primarily associated with downside volatility and margin requirements are not primarily associated with upside volatility, as would be expected if margin buying were the cause of the volatility.
Thus, the experience with stock market margin requirements provides no support for regulating futures markets margins in order to curb volatility.
While this evidence does not rule out the possibility that margin buying contributed to the speculative boom of the s and the crash, margin debt represented a much greater fraction of the stock market than have stock market futures in the s. Even taking the experience of the s into account, therefore, there is still no justification for regulating futures margins in order to curb volatility.
This article was prepared for the Columbia Center for the Study of Futures Markets Conference on Regulatory and Structural Reform of Stock and Futures Markets. Part of Springer Nature. Not logged in Not affiliated Stock market margin requirements and volatility: Implications for regulation of stock index futures.
Cite this article as: J Finan Serv Res 3: Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. Banking and Monetary Statistics.
National Capital Press, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, Banking and Monetary Statistics: A Regulatory Initiative to Prevent Speculative Bubbles.
Stocks, Bonds, Bills, and Inflation Yearbook , Presidential Task Force on Market Mechanisms. Report of the Presidential Task Force on Market Mechanisms.
Government Printing Office, Econometrica 48 , — Graduate School of Business Columbia University New York USA. Publisher Name Kluwer Academic Publishers Print ISSN Online ISSN About this journal Reprints and Permissions.
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Regulation, Trading Volume and Stock Market Volatility - Persée
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